The Truth about those Polls…

02Mar10

Well…what is happening? The sharp tightening of the polls may or may not be concrete – but both red and blue seem to think that it is.

Colleagues have roundly scoffed at my theory that this reported tightening is a Tory ruse to ensure that their vote turns out at the GE…

And a ComRes poll published tomorrow will put Labour as the largest party following the next election with some, like Charlie Whelan, claiming that this shows the polling trend shoring up.

We’ll see.

Whether it’s a five or two point difference between the parties, not a single vote has been cast yet…

…and the non-dom scandal (for once a time when the term is justified) has yet to be factored into the polling.

As matters stand, anything could happen.

No chance for the LOTO to erase memories of his weekend performance by putting in a shift at PMQs – it’s Harriet and Hague this week – so the chance is gone.

My expectation is that the Tory press will turn it up this week in an attempt to support their man. As I’ve previously written, if the LOTO can’t create a new reality, then they will see it as their duty to do it for him.

By any means necessary.

It is game on; but anything could happen.